The pig raising industry is an important pillar industry in the rural economy of our province, and it is also the main way for the majority of farmers to increase their income. What is the trend of pork prices in our province and even in the country in the second half of this year? In the face of soaring pork and feed prices, in the end it is more or less raised? Recently, the reporter interviewed Liu Wenke, secretary-general of the Provincial Swine Industry Association.
Liu Wenke told reporters that the rising market price of live pigs and their products has the characteristics of nationwideness, fierceness, regularity and rationality. According to a survey conducted by the Ministry of Agriculture on the national pig and pork market, since last July, the prices of live pig products have generally maintained a sustained upward trend. The price of piglets has risen for 10 months in a row; live pig prices have experienced a slight correction in February-February this year and continued to rise after April. In May, the average price of piglets, pigs, and pork increased by 71.3% and 45.2% respectively. And 29.3%. According to the investigation of the national meat market by the Ministry of Commerce, after entering April, pork prices in various regions have continued to rise, reaching the highest point in 10 years. According to the latest survey by the Bureau of Animal Husbandry and Aquatic Products of Shijiazhuang City, on May 20th, the average price of live pigs in the city exceeded 12 yuan per kilogram, reaching 12.45 yuan, an increase of 3 yuan from the beginning of April and an increase of 4 yuan from the beginning of November last year, which was the same period last year. 2.3 times; pork prices exceeded 20 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 4 yuan from the beginning of April, an increase of 8 yuan from the beginning of November last year.
Liu Wenke analyzed that the price fluctuations were mainly caused by the shortage of pigs, rising feed costs, and demand pulling. As the leading animal husbandry company, Hebei Kailong Foods Co., Ltd. currently has an average daily slaughter of 500-600 heads, which is one-third lower than the same period of last year and half of that before the Spring Festival. The main reason is the shortage of pigs.
With regard to the recent trend of live pigs and pork prices, Liu Wenke believes that, overall, according to the characteristics of aquaculture production, the pig production cycle is long, and the relationship between supply and demand for live pigs cannot be effectively alleviated in the short term, and pig and pork prices will be higher. The price runs. After September, it is expected that the number of stocks will increase in the spring and summer at the same time, and hog and pork prices will fall.
The pig-to-farm ratio is above the break-even point and farmers are still profitable. In the face of rising pork prices and stubbornly high feed prices, many farmers are hesitating between raising and keeping, raising more and less raising. Liu Wenke believes that at present, the prices of corn, wheat bran and soybean meal are 1.52 yuan, 0.97 yuan and 2.5 yuan per kilogram respectively, which are 22.6%, 2.3% and 3.7% higher than the same period of last year respectively. The average price of piglets in the province is 16.32 yuan/kg. , an increase of 183.8% year-on-year, an increase of 23.8% from the previous month. The pig-to-grain ratio was 7.53:1, which was above the critical margin of the pig-to-tail ratio of 5.5:1. According to the current calculation of live pigs, piglets, and feed prices, a commercial pig farm will produce about 200 yuan per pig, and raising pigs is still profitable.